Greenbrier Classic Golf Betting Preview
June 29, 2015|Posted in: General
Weekly Betting preview for the PGA Tour
After something of a barren run it was nice to have a decent pick up last week, with a 31.5 point return on the 10 points staked. This was all down to 80/1 shot Graham Delaet coming in 4th, although on Sunday morning I was thinking that he might finish 3 places higher. What this win does do is to put the site back into profit after a couple of weeks where we managed to dip below the red line.
So another week is upon us and we’re another week closer to the Open at St. Andrews, which can’t come soon enough. However we have two tournaments between now and then and it would be nice to have a decent profit margin heading to Scotland. This week it’s the Greenbrier Classic, a tournament with a tiny history in comparison to the rest of the tour, only making its debut in 2010. A look at the previous winners of the event shows a list of players who haven’t particularly set the golfing world alight including Scott Stallings, Ted Potter Jr and Jonas Blixt. In Angel Cabreara and Stuart Appleby however, there is some real class in the list.
Being just two weeks before the Open, the field isn’t the strongest, although in Bubba Watson, J.B. Holmes and Patrick Reed the tournament certainly isn’t bad. It’s also something of a surreal experience scrolling through the betting markets and finding Tiger Woods as an also ran, but at odds of 66/1 he certainly offers no value whatsoever, although it would be nice to see some improvement.
I found this week a little difficult, as I couldn’t decide if Bubba Watson was value. As a winner last week I’m always wary unless a player has shown they are capable of back to back wins and Watson has never really done too much directly after a win. He has also played here the last two years and had a best finish of tied 16th, so although I think he deserves favouritism, I’m just not sure odds of 12/1 at best offer any value again. You can find much longer odds about his two of his nearest challengers from last week and I’ve decided to go with both.
Greenbrier Classic 2015 Picks
Paul Casey 2 pts E.W 28/1 Coral
Paul Casey has been on fire this year and is arguably playing some of the best, if not the best golf of his career right now. A little over a year ago Paul Casey was sat outside the worlds top 100 players and missing out on Majors, but with his runner up spot last week has moved to number 23 in the world. In his last 11 tournaments played, Casey has finished in the top ten an amazing six times and pushed Bubba all the way to a playoff last week. I always like backing a player who has finished runner up the week before and at odds of 28/1 Casey looks amazing value to me.
Graham Delaet 1.5 pts E.W 33/1 Betfred
I’ve decided to stick with the Canadian again this week after giving me a nice pick-up last week. Last week I picked him mainly because of his form progression, which had seen him finish 56th, 53rd, 22nd and 26th in his four previous tournaments. The 4th place last week continues this run, so I see no reason to leave him alone. He was way overpriced last week and once again, at 33/1 here the odds are a little too long for me as I see him more of a 20/1 or 22/1 shot. The early part of last year saw Delaet rise as high as 26th in the world and he could certainly reach this level again if he plays like he did last week on a consistent basis.
Daniel Berger 1.5 pts E.W 70/1 Stan James
Daniel Berger ended last year ranked 289th in the world but has made plenty of waves in 2015 and now sits at 74th in the world. Like Jordan Spieth, this 22 year old golfer plays a lot of golf and in some ways perhaps too much. In fact between January and early June Berger played in 17 out of a possible 21 tournaments, which saw some very mixed results. The high point of this run was his runner up spot at the Honda Classic having missed out in a playoff to Padraig Harrington, but he has been very much up and down since then, with top 10 finishes being interspersed with missed cuts. Berger has now had three weeks rest from the tour, which I think was much needed and he will be refreshed coming into this week.
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by Chasing Jack