John Deere Classic Golf Betting Preview

July 7, 2015|Posted in: General

Weekly Betting preview for the PGA Tour

jack With the Open just a week away, much of the talk this week is about the ankle injury sustained by Rory McIlroy which was revealed just 10 days before he is due to defend the prestigious title. Whether or not the Irishman should have been playing football is open to question, but the timing couldn’t have been worse. If the injury is worse than the team are letting on, it could lead to McIlroy missing out on two Major championships, as well as the Fedex Cup playoffs and will almost certainly also see him lose the prestigious number one world ranking to double major winner Jordan Spieth.

On the subject of the Texan, it was a big surprise to me to see him included in the field for the John Deere Classic despite this being the event that started it all, giving him his first win on the PGA tour two years ago. If he does play all four days, Spieth will realistically only have a couple of days of practice at St. Andrews before trying to continue his quest for the much coveted calendar Grand Slam. But playing he is and he is rightly the string favorite for the event. The second favourite for the tournament is Zach Johnson. He has a brilliant record here, with a win in 2012 and runners up spots in both of the last two years. However, as always it’s a case of weighing up where we think there is value and Spieth at a top price of 4/1 offers no value in my book. Zach Johnson is a different story however and as you can see, I have indeed picked him this week.

In fact, I have weighed course form heavily in my picks this week, as the same players tend to feature near or at the top of the leader board year after year here.

 Greenbrier Classic 2015 Picks

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Zach Johnson 2 pts E.W 11/1 Coral

It wouldn’t be unkind to say that Zach Johnson isn’t going through the best period of his golfing career right now. The early part of 2014 saw this former Masters champion rise as high as 7th in the world and yet today we see him as low as 29th. The start to the year was somewhat mediocre for Johnson, with three missed cuts by April (the same number as he suffered all of last year). However recent weeks have seen a recovery, with six straight made cuts, including 5 top 20 finishes and 2 top 10′s. With his form at this event, Johnson will surely go close again and odds of 11/1 look a lot like value to me, much more value than the 4/1 available about Spieth.

Steve Stricker 1.5 PTS E.W 40/1 Coral

Stricker is very much a part time golfer right now, having only played a total of 6 tournaments this year, to add to the 12 he played last year. This week sees Stricker play back to back events for the first time since August of last year and he heads to an event which he owned between 2009 and 2011, claiming victory in all three years. No, the Stricker of 2015 isn’t quite the same player, but he is by no means there to just make up the numbers (just three missed cuts since the end of 2009 evidence of this). His form has been patchy this year so far and he missed the cut last week (by a single stroke). However, when he last played back to back events,  a 7th place finish at the PGA championship followed a poor showing the previous week (63rd in a 75 player field). This is enough to convince me that there is some value here.

Jerry Kelly 1.5 pts E.W 70/1 BetFred

Kelly finished 4th here two years and 3rd last year so most definitely has to be considered. This popular 48 year old has been a feature of the PGA tour for many years and was at his peak around 2002/2003. However, his world ranking tells something of a strange story. Between 2002 and 2012 his world ranking virtually dropped year on year and from a high of 19th he found himself at 254th in the world. You might have expected this trend to continue, but 2013 saw Kelly move back to 212th in the world and then 2014 saw another rise to 123rd in the world – right now in the middle of 2015 he is still there at 123rd. Kelly does come here on the back of 2 missed cuts, but with 5 top 30 finishes in his last 7 events, his game is certainly there.

For more golf betting guides and information, check out High Tech Gambling.


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