Quicken Loans National Golf Betting Preview
July 27, 2015|Posted in: General
Weekly Betting preview for the PGA Tour
The frustrating run continues, yet for most of last week I was sitting very pretty. One of my three players was a non runner, but at one point on Sunday both of my other picks were joint 5th and at odds of 125/1 (Schniederjans) and 25/1 (Koepka) it was looking like a big week was possible. Then the bogey trail started and that was that. Overall we’re now looking at a 10% loss on the year so far, which is annoying but nothing that can’t be turned around in the matter of four good days!
This week is something of a quiet one as next week we have the WGC followed by the PGA the week after, although once again the field is pretty strong considering. The betting market has a strange look about it with two players dominating the proceedings in Justin Rose and Rickie Fowler, while Jimmy Walker is close behind – after this it’s something of a free for all. The tournament this year is being played at the Robert Trent Jones Golf Club, the first time this course has been used for a PGA tour event, so we have no real course form to go on, which makes things a little tougher, but it does mean the usual weighing up the player form against the course form is a little easier.
With the big events close on the horizon, the focus of the big name players might not be quite 100% on this event, whereas players lower down the rankings are fighting for Fedex Cup points right now, with a maximum of four tournaments left (3 for many). This has led me to pick these players this week.
The Quicken Loans National 2015 Picks
Camillo Villegas 2 pts E.W 125/1 SkyBet
Villegas currently sits at 130th in the Fedex Cup standings after moving up from 138th last week with his 22nd place at the Canadian Open. This result saw an upturn in form and Villegas played his best golf for a long time around this time of the season last year – picking up the Wyndham Championship in his first tournament after the Canadian Open. Villegas will need to perform in the next few weeks to make the playoffs again so he’ll certainly be focused.
Troy Merritt 1.5 PTS E.W 350/1 Bet365
When betting on golf it’s not always a good idea to back players who are consistent in making the cut but never really threatening the top 5. Merritt is a different animal completely, with 11 missed cuts this year in 19 events, but with two top 6 finishes from seemingly nowhere – meaning that when he is on form, he is on form! Merritt sits just above the cut line at 123rd in the Fedex Cup, so has all to play for. This is most certainly a gamble, but at 350/1 I think there is some value there.
Alex Prugh 1.5 pts E.W 250/1 888 Sport
Prugh is another long priced pick this week, although of the three he is probably playing the best. Prugh has made the cut in each of the last 3 weeks with 28th, 23rd and 48th place finishes. He also has two top 10 finishes on tour this year so certainly cannot be discounted. At 127th in the Fedex list, he is another one fighting for his life right now and I like these odds.
For more golf betting guides and information, check out High Tech Gambling.
Chasing Jack will not preview the WGC Championship next week, but will be back for the final Major of the year in 2 weeks time.
by Chasing Jack