The Open Championship Golf Betting Preview
July 13, 2015|Posted in: General
Weekly Betting preview for the PGA Tour
So here we are in Open week – the best week in golf. The fact that the tournament is at St. Andrews adds a special sheen to the event, evoking so many great memories. My earliest memory of the tournament at St. Andrews is when Seve Ballesteros would take the claret jug after an enormous battle with Tom Watson back in 1984, when I was a mere 13 years old. My favourite memory however is when Nick Faldo won the tournament six years later, where he would go head to head with Greg Norman in the last group on Saturday, only to beat the Australian by 9 strokes and take a five shot lead into Sunday, which he would never relinquish.
The build up to this year’s event has seen a few twists and turns, never more so than when world number one Rory McIlroy would pull out with an ACL injury. Many consider that this has opened the door for the tournament favourite Jordan Spieth, who himself has been questioned because of his decision to play in the US last week – although he will feel somewhat vindicated having won yet another title. Spieth will become world number one with a victory at St. Andrews, but more importantly perhaps, he will have landed leg 3 of the Grand Slam. The Grand Slam is something I never expect to see in my lifetime, but you have to consider that it is now actually possible – although still incredibly unlikely.
The Open presents some unusual challenges when it comes to picking winners. The only real form guide is from previous editions of the tournament at the course, the last of which was 5 five years ago. Although of course, players who play Links courses well have to be considered.
So here goes – here are the players I hope will be striding down the 18th fairway with a big smile on their face come Sunday.
The Open Championship 2015 Picks
Dustin Johnson 2 pts E.W 12/1 Coral
A look at the world rankings shows Dustin Johnson at world number 4, but this only tells a small part of the story. Johnson took a break from the game for over six months shortly after the Open last year and since his return has been simply magnificent. If DJ had made a tricky putt on the last at the U.S. Open, he would have claimed his first Major – three putting handing it to Jordan Spieth. Add this to the 6th place in the Masters and his win at the WGC event earlier in the year, he is pushing both Spieth and McIlroy all the way. For me, Johnson at 12/1 offers slightly more value than the 13/2 on offer about Spieth – his build-up does worry me slightly.
Charl Schwartzel 1.5 PTS E.W 100/1 William Hill
When this diminutive South African won the Masters in 2011 I seriously thought he would remain at the top of the game and go onto win multiple Majors. However, it hasn’t quite happened for Schwartzel and his ranking has slumped from 9th in the world to 40th today. However there are some signs that things are coming together. He recently finished 7th at the U.S. Open and reached the knockout stage of the World Golf Championship Matchplay event. There is some added encouragement in the fact that he won the Alfred Dunhill Links Championsip in both 2012 and 2013, a tournament where 2 of the rounds are played at St. Andrews. The course is set up slightly differently, so it’s not a direct form guide, but he’ll head to the course with lots of confidence. 100/1 to me offers great value.
Bernd Wiesberger 1.5 pts E.W 80/1 Coral
Wiesberger has always been something of an annoying player, in the fact that I back him a fair amount on the European tour, but he never gets the job done when my money is riding on him. The moment I leave him alone, there he is on Sunday afternoon contending. He heads to the Open on the back of the biggest win of his career at the French Open which has seen him rise to a career high 23rd in the world. This win follows the second place in the Irish Open just over a month ago, so it’s clear that Wiesberger is in fine mettle and possibly ready to move his career onto another level – with Majors and the Ryder Cup firmly in his sights.
I did it! A whole Open betting preview without mentioning Tiger Woods once…. Oh!
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by Chasing Jack